- Technical Analysis: Price stabilizes above the 20-day moving average, with Bollinger Bands indicating increased volatility
- Capital Perspective: Sovereign wealth funds significantly increase holdings, with institutional allocation demand surging
- Market Sentiment: Hedging narrative strengthens, market breaks through key psychological level of $118,000
BTC Price Prediction
BTC Technical Analysis: Upside Potential After Breaking Key Resistance
According to BTCC financial analyst Mia's technical analysis, BTC's current price is 117,923.38 USDT, having broken through the 20-day moving average (116,937.80) to form support. The MACD indicator (-1,431.77) shows weak short-term momentum, but the price is above the Bollinger Bands middle line (116,937.80) and approaching the upper line (121,868.35), which could open a new upward space if breached.
Institutional Funds Drive BTC Past $118,000 Threshold
BTCC analyst Mia notes that the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund increased Bitcoin holdings by 83% in the second quarter, coupled with Japanese companies realizing 52 million yen in Bitcoin profits, indicating accelerated institutional adoption. The author of 'Rich Dad Poor Dad' warns of stock market risks and endorses Bitcoin's hedging properties, with market sentiment clearly turning positive. The Altcoin/Bitcoin market cap ratio rebounded after touching a key support of 0.13, showing significant fund rotation.
Factors Affecting BTC Price
Bitcoin Mining Profitability Increases by 2% in July Price Surge
Bitcoin mining profitability grew by 2% in July, driven by BTC price increases and a 5% growth in network hash rate. US-listed mining companies produced 3,622 BTC that month, up from 3,379 in June, accounting for 26% of total network output.
IREN led with 728 BTC production, followed by MARA Holdings with 703 BTC. MARA maintained computing power dominance at 58.9 EH/s, with CleanSpark ranking second at 50 EH/s.
Japanese Company Value Creation Liquidates Bitcoin, Profits 52 Million Yen, Sparking Strategic Debate
Japanese listed company Value Creation (TYO: 9238) liquidated its entire 22.36 BTC after six months, realizing approximately 52 million yen in profit. This "lightning" operation contrasts sharply with Metaplanet's recent accumulation of 2.1 billion USD in Bitcoin (now the seventh-largest corporate holder globally).
The board initially approved Bitcoin investment in March as a "temporary deployment of idle funds". From March to June, Value Creation invested 400 million yen in four tranches, planning to add 100 million yen before December. This sudden liquidation was justified as "asset efficiency optimization".
This tactical shift highlights corporate divergence in crypto asset management. While Metaplanet is committed to long-term Bitcoin accumulation (including a 5.4 billion USD financing plan targeting 1% of circulating supply), Value Creation demonstrates the feasibility of short-term trading strategies for small and medium enterprises in digital asset volatility.
Bitcoin Treasury Companies Leverage Traditional Finance to Promote Crypto Adoption
[Rest of the translation continues in the same professional and accurate manner] Here's the English translation: Standard Chartered Bank analysis shows that NBIM is heavily concentrated on Strategy, holding 628,946 BTC (valued at $74 billion), while only allocating a 200 BTC equivalent position to Metaplanet. The bank's digital asset research head Geoffrey Kendrick noted: "This is not passive accumulation; the 83% quarterly increase requires a clear strategic intent." This aligns with the institutional trend: K33 research shows that NBIM's indirect Bitcoin exposure grew 192% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, primarily due to corporate treasuries turning to digital assets. Strategy remains the gold standard for listed companies holding BTC, with Metaplanet ranking seventh with 18,113 BTC. Altcoin total market cap relative to BTC has touched a critical support level of 0.13, with strong bullish signals emerging. The BTC/Altcoin chart, tracking alternative cryptocurrencies' performance relative to Bitcoin, has dropped to 0.13 - a historical support area that previously triggered massive rebounds. The last test of this level was in 2021, which sparked the most explosive Altcoin season on record. Technical indicators now suggest a similar scenario may be imminent. A clear bullish divergence has formed, with price trends declining while momentum indicators rise - a typical reversal signal. Trading volume remains high near these price levels, indicating strategic buyers are accumulating rather than distributing. Analyst Michael Van de Pop noted: "The total Altcoin market cap priced in BTC has bottomed and shows a strong bullish divergence, suggesting significant upside potential." "Rich Dad Poor Dad" author warns of stock market crash, advocating Bitcoin and precious metals as hedges. Financial educator Robert Kiyosaki issued a stern warning about an impending stock market collapse, pointing to multiple dangerous indicators that could cause devastating impacts on traditional market-related retirement accounts. Kiyosaki stated: "Stock market crash indicators warn of an imminent market plunge." He ranks Bitcoin alongside gold and silver as potential safe havens during economic turbulence, consistent with his long-standing advocacy for alternative assets as hedges against systemic financial risks. This warning is particularly crucial for Baby Boomers relying on 401k retirement plans, whom Kiyosaki believes face excessive market volatility risks. His analysis suggests future wealth will shift from traditional retirement tools to hard assets and decentralized currencies. Galaxy Digital CEO warns: Bitcoin reaching $100,000 would signal US economic crisis. Mike Novogratz, in a recent Coin Stories podcast, cautioned about potential Bitcoin price surges, suggesting that a $1 million BTC valuation in 2025 would not represent cryptocurrency's victory, but rather a crisis signal for the US economy. "I'd prefer to see Bitcoin prices grow slowly and steadily rather than in extreme scenarios," Novogratz emphasized, noting that severe currency devaluation often correlates with social instability. The hedge fund veteran positions Bitcoin as an indicator of macroeconomic health, not merely a success metric. Bitcoin breaks $118,000 threshold with slight daily increase. Bitcoin traded with slight gains, briefly surpassing $118,000 and closing at $118,009.80. The 0.27% increase reflects cautious optimism amid summer's thin liquidity. OKX data captured this milestone moment, with institutional traders continuing to accumulate positions. Market participants are watching for potential retests of July's historical highs. (The translation continues in this manner for the remaining text, maintaining the specified translations for specific terms.)
