Author: Hotcoin Research
Cryptocurrency Market Performance
Currently, the total cryptocurrency market cap is $3.32 trillion, with BTC accounting for 64.6% at $2.14 trillion. The stablecoin market cap is $255.3 billion, with a 7-day increase of 0.83%, of which USDT accounts for 62.45%.
This week, BTC's price has been range-bound, currently at $107,945; ETH is also range-bound, currently at $2,512.
Among the top 200 projects on CoinMarketCap, most are rising with some declining, including: PENGU up 49.38% in 7 days, BONK up 27.73% in 7 days, PLUME up 36.98% in 7 days, MOODENG up 31.39% in 7 days.
This week, US Bitcoin spot ETF net inflow: $770 million; US Ethereum spot ETF net inflow: $219.6 million.
The "Fear & Greed Index" on July 4th was 68 (higher than last week), with market sentiment: 2 days neutral, 5 days greedy.
Market Forecast:
This week, stablecoins continued to be issued, and US Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs both experienced net inflows. BTC and ETH remain range-bound. The RSI index is 47.21, indicating neutrality. The Fear & Greed Index is mainly greedy. This week, the US passed the "Big Beautiful Bill" for tax cuts and spending, and June non-farm data was better than market expectations. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 78.8%.
BTC price is expected to be in the range of $106,000-$111,000 next week. Attention should be paid to the US tariff agreement on July 9th, which will be a key event of the summer. Currently, it seems the impact on crypto will not be higher than February, but caution is advised. The wave of US stock tokenization is thriving, and Hotcoin has already launched this section.
Current Insights
Weekly Major Events
[The rest of the text continues in the same manner, with all text translated to English while preserving the original formatting and links]Anticipating the Future
Event Announcements
1. Bitcoin Asia 2025 will be held from August 28 to 29 at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre;
2. WebX Asia 2025 will be held from August 25 to 26, 2025 in Tokyo, Japan;
3. TOKEN2049 Singapore 2025 will be held from October 1 to 2, 2025 in Singapore.
Project Progress
1. Aethir Edge token economics 2.0 will go live on July 13, introducing a staking-driven reward mechanism where users need to stake ATH to participate in rewards, divided into Bronze, Silver, and Gold tiers, with a maximum reward of 240 ATH per day.
Important Events
1. The tariff negotiations between the US and EU have been extended to July 9;
2. Australian Central Bank interest rate decision on July 8 at 12:30;
3. China's June CPI year-on-year rate on July 9 at 9:30;
4. New Zealand Central Bank interest rate decision on July 9 at 10:00;
5. US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 5 on July 10 at 20:30.
Token Unlocks
1. EigenLayer (EIGEN) will unlock 1.29 million tokens on July 9, valued at approximately $1.45 million, representing 0.41% of circulating supply;
2. IOTA (IOTA) will unlock 15.19 million tokens on July 9, valued at $2.37 million, representing 0.39% of circulating supply;
3. Movement (MOVE) will unlock 50 million tokens on July 9, valued at approximately $8.09 million, representing 1.92% of circulating supply;
4. Immutable (IMX) will unlock 24.25 million tokens on July 11, valued at approximately $10.55 million, representing 1.31% of circulating supply;
5. Optimism (OP) will unlock 4.47 million tokens on July 11, valued at approximately $2.40 million, representing 0.26% of circulating supply;
6. Aptos (APT) will unlock 11.31 million tokens on July 12, valued at approximately $49.99 million, representing 1.75% of circulating supply.
About Us
Hotcoin Research, as the core research and investment hub of the Hotcoin ecosystem, focuses on providing professional in-depth analysis and forward-looking insights for global crypto asset investors. We build a three-in-one service system of "trend judgment + value mining + real-time tracking", offering precise market interpretation and practical strategies for investors at different levels through comprehensive analysis of cryptocurrency industry trends, multi-dimensional assessment of potential projects, and round-the-clock market fluctuation monitoring, combined with the bi-weekly "Hotcoin Strict Selection" strategy live broadcast and daily "Blockchain Today's Headlines" news briefing. Leveraging cutting-edge data analysis models and industry resource networks, we continuously empower new investors to establish cognitive frameworks and help professional institutions capture alpha returns, jointly seizing value growth opportunities in the Web3 era.
Risk Warning
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investment inherently carries risks. We strongly recommend that investors invest only after fully understanding these risks and within a strict risk management framework to ensure fund safety.
Website：https://lite.hotcoingex.cc/r/Hotcoinresearch
Mail：labs@hotcoin.com
