Some people say that interest rate cuts are beneficial, but I do not entirely agree for reasons I have previously written about. In 2023, I wrote an article called "The Last Drop," and recently added more about why high interest rates are unfavorable for the economy. In fact, these are probabilistic, and it's not necessarily true that interest rate cuts are always good or bad. It depends on the economic situation. If interest rates are cut due to an economic recession, then it would be negative. If the Federal Reserve believes inflation is declining and initiates rate cuts, then it would be beneficial. Therefore, simply saying that rate cuts will definitely start a bull market is incorrect and quite dangerous. This is not a bearish view, but a statement of fact. Additionally, the market often performs well in the early stages of rate cuts, and interested individuals can try checking this with . This post is sponsored by @ | Dex With
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Phyrex
@Phyrex_Ni
06-15
难得还有小伙伴记得最后一跌,我对于最后一跌的概念一直都是经济衰退,也就是说如果没有经济衰退,在我的认知体系里就不算是“最后一跌”,之所以这么说,是因为从历史来看,当利率处于高位(尤其超过 5%)时,经济最终陷入衰退的概率超过 70%(部分统计甚至接近 80%)。 x.com/babeniao/statu…
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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